Saturday Horse Racing Tips and Trends: 4th Jan 2020

Another new year and there is no let-up in the racing action as the ITV cameras head to Wincanton & Sandown to take in seven races across the two venues. The Tolworth Hurdle at Sandown is one of the clear highlights as the latest set of novices’ look to follow in the hoof-prints of the likes of Summerville Boy, Yorkhill, Finian’s Oscar & Elixir Du Nutz, who have won the race in recent years.

So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here at RACING AHEAD with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races – we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get cracking!

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

1.50 – New Unibet Uniboost Handicap Chase Cl2 2m ITV4

13/13 – Won over at least 2m (chase) previously
12/13 – Ran within the last 2 months
12/13 – Priced 17/2 or shorter
11/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/13 – Favourites placed
10/13 – From the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Won between 1-4 times over fences in the UK previously
9/13 – Officially rated 135 or higher
8/13 – Never raced at Sandown
8/13 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/13 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
7/13 – Irish bred
7/13 – Winning Favourites
7/13 – Unplaced last time out
4/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/13 – Went onto win a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Champion Chase, Grand Annual)
3/13 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/13 – Won their last race
Trainer Philip Hobbs has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
Darebin won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 8 running is 9/2

2.25 – Unibet Tolworth Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

14/15 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
14/15 – Placed 1^st or 2^nd in their last race
14/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/15 – Priced 5/1 or shorter
13/15 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
12/15 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
12/15 – Came from the top three in the market
11/15 – Won last time out
10/15 – Placed favourites
9/15 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
9/15 – Won by an Irish bred horse
8/15 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
7/15 – Winning Favourites
4/15 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
4/15 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
3/15 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/15 – Ridden by jockey Barry Geraghty
2/15 – Ran at Sandown before
2/15 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
2/15 – Won the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle later that season (Summerville Boy, 2018 & Noland, 2006)
1/15 – Won the Neptune Investment Hurdle later that season (Yorkhill 2016)
5 or 6 years-old have won 21 of the last 27 runnings
Since 1988 ALL winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1

3.00 – Unibet Veterans´ Handicap Chase Final (The Final of The 2015 Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m37y ITV4

Just 4 previous runnings
Trainers Venetia Williams, Evan Williams, Charlie Longsdon and David Pipe are past winners
4/4 – Unplaced last time out
4/4 – Ran in last 4 weeks
4/4 – 4+ wins over fences
3/4 – Unplaced favourites
3/4 – Officially rated between 135-145
3/4 – winners aged 11 or 12 years-old
3/4 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
1/4 – Winning favourite (joint)
Trainer David Pipe has a 29% record with his chasers at the track

3.35 –Read Nico De Boinville’s Unibet Blog Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV4

12/14 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
12/14 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
12/14 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
10/14 – Unplaced last time out
9/14 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
7/14 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/14 – Officially rated between 127 and 132
6/14 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
6/14 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
6/14 – Went onto finish unplaced in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
6/14 – From the top 3 in the betting
4/14 – Irish bred
4/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
2/14 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/14 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/14 – Winning favourites
4 of the last 6 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 13/2

Wincanton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

2.05 – Watch Racing TV Now Handicap Chase Cl3 2m4f35y ITV4

No previous runnings
Paul Nicholls has a 31% record with his chasers at the track
Evan Williams has 21% record with his chasers at the track

2.40 –  Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5 1/2f ITV4

Just 3 previous runnings
Trainers Jonjo O’Neill, Henry Daly and Tom George were previous winners
3/3 – Winners aged between 5-7 years-old
3/3 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
2/3 – Carried 11-10 or more in weight
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 37% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Emma Lavelle has a 26% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Philip Hobbs is just 9 from 89 with his hurdlers at the track

3.15 – Join Racing TV Now Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 2m4f ITV4

7/8 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
7/8 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
7/8 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
7/8 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
6/8 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
6/8 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
4/8 – French bred
2/8 – Ran at Exeter last time out
2/8 – Trained by Tom George
1/8 – Winning favourite
1/8 – Won last time out
Catamaran Du Seuil was second in the 2019 race
The average winning SP in the last 7 runs is 9/2

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