Saturday TV Trends and Free Tips: 17th Aug 2019

We’ve got all the trends & stats you need ahead of the LIVE ITV action from Newbury, Newmarket and Ripon this Saturday, with the competitive Great St Wilfrid Handicap and the Group Three Geoffrey Freer Stakes the main events.

Saturday 17th August 2019

NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

2.45 – Unibet Grey Horse Handicap (for Grey Horses Only) Cl4 6f ITV

15/16 – Failed to win last time out
14/16 – Had won over 6f before
14/16 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
13/16 – Aged 5 or older
13/16 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
12/16 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
12/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Had 3 or more career wins
10/16 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
3/16 – Trained by Tony Newcombe
1/16 – Winning favourites
My Amigo (5/1) won the race in 2018
Case Key (8/1) won the race in 2017

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Denford Stud Stakes (Registered as The Washington Singer Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

15/17 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Finished in the first three last time out
14/17 – Had won a race before
13/17 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
12/17 – Won by a Feb (7) or March (5) foal
12/17 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
11/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Won last time out
9/17 – Horses from stall 3 placed
9/17 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
7/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/17 – Ran at Goodwood (2) or Sandown (2) last time out
4/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
4/17 – Won on their racecourse debut
3/17 – Trained by John Gosden
3/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

2.25 – Unibet Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y ITV

17/17 – Had won at least twice in their career
15/17 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
13/17 – Finished 1^st or 2^nd last time out
13/17 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Aged 3-5 years-old
12/17 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
12/17 – Officially rated 110 or higher
12/17 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
10/17 – Ran at Goodwood (4) or Newmarket (6) last time out
10/17 – Winning favourites
8/17 – Had already won a Group race
7/17 – Had won at Newbury before
Hamada (7/4 fav) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 3/1

3.00 – Unibet Handicap Cl3 7f ITV

15/17 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
15/17 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
15/17 – Had won at least twice during their career
13/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Winning distance 1 length or shorter
12/17 – Carried 9-1 or more
10/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/17 – Drawn in stalls 11, 12, 13, 14 or 15
3/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
Squats (17/2) won the race in 2017 and 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

3.35 – Unibet Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

15/17 – Didn’t win last time out
15/17 – Had won a Listed (6) or Group (9) race before
14/17 – Had won over this 7f trip before
14/17 – Officially rated 110 or more
14/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/17 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
13/17 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
9/17 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
8/17 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
The last 10 winners were all draw 6 or lower
No winner from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
Sir Dancealot won the race in 2018
Breton Rock won the race in 2014 and was third in 2015
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

RIPON Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.05 – William Hill Silver Trohpy Handicap (Consolation Race For The William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes) Cl2 6f ITV

7/7 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
7/7 – Previous winners over 6f
7/7 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
7/7 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
7/7 – Returned between 6/1 and 16/1
6/7 – Favourites placed in the top 4
6/7 – Didn’t win last time out
5/6 – Won between 3-4 times before
5/6 – Winning distance head or shorter
5/6 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
4/6 – Drawn in stalls 13 or higher
4/6 – Rated between 87-93
2/6 – Has won at Ripon before
0/6 – Winning favourites
Quick Look won the race in 2018
Teruntum Star won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 6 years is 12/1

3.15 – William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

15/17 – Previous winners over 6f
14/17 – Didn’t win last time out
12/17 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
12/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/17 – Carried 8-12 or more
11/17 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
9/17 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
9/17 – Had run at Ripon before (3 won)
7/17 – Ran at either Goodwood (4) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/17 – Aged 4 years-old
4/17 – Winning favourites
1/17 – Aged 3 years-old
Gunmetal won the race in 2018
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
8 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
Only 5 winning favourites since 1990
Since 1986 ALL bar one winner returned 20/1 or less
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 12.5/1

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