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Sovereign Stakes Trends and Free Tip

Staged at Salisbury racecourse the Sovereign Stakes is a Group Three race run over 1m, with just over £42,000 on offer to the winner.

First run in 2000 the contest is the highest-classed race run at Salisbury and in recent years trainers Richard Hannon and Andrew Balding are the yards to follow – they’ve won the race three times each since 2001.

We take a look at the key stats ahead of the 2019 renewal – this year run on Thursday 15th August. Did you know 15 of the last 16 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting?

 

Recent Sovereign Stakes Winners

2018 – PLUMATIC (3/1)
2017 – BALLET CONCERTO (5/2)
2016 – ZONDERLAND (4/1)
2015 – KODI BEAR (11/4 fav)
2014 – CAPTAIN CAT (11/2)
2013 – AFSARE (9/4 fav)
2012 – TULLIUS (11/4)
2011 – SIDE GLANCE (2/1 fav)
2010 – SEA LORD (7/2)
2009 – MAC LOVE (25/1)
2008 – ORDNANCE ROW (5/1)
2007 – PRIDE OF NATION (5/2 fav)
2006 – BELENUS (11/10 fav)
2005 – LAYMAN (9/2)
2004 – NORSE DANCER (3/1)
2003 – PASSING GLANCE (6/1)

Sovereign Stakes Betting Trends

15/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Had won over a mile (or further) before
14/16 – Aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
11/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
8/16 – Had won at Listed or Group 3 class before
8/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
6/16 – Raced at Ascot (3) or Goodwood (3) last time out
6/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Had raced at Salisbury before (3 won)
5/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/16 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 9/2
Richard Hannon has won the race in 2001, 2002 & 2008
Andrew Balding has won the race in 2003, 2011 & 2012

RACING AHEAD VERDICT: KING OTTOKAR

 

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