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York Ebor Festival Trends: DAY ONE (Weds 21st Aug 2019)

The horse racing action steps up a few gears again on Wednesday 21st August as the four-day Ebor Festival from York racecourse gets going. Bundles to look forward to with 10 Group races spread over the meeting that include the Juddmonte Stakes, Nunthorpe Stakes and the Yorkshire Oaks, while the meeting is always concluded with the Ebor Handicap on the final day – the most valuable flat handicap in Europe!

We get going on DAY ONE with four LIVE ITV races, including the Group Three Acomb Stakes, where 14 of the last 16 winners won last time out, while we’ve also the Great Voltigeur – a decent St Leger Trial – but the opening day’s feature is the Group One Juddmonte International Stakes – a race that is worth just over £540k to the winner!

As always, we’ll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

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DAY ONE – Wednesday 21st August 2019

 

1.55 – Sky Bet Symphony Group Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 5f89y ITV

10/10 – Returned 7/1 or bigger in the betting
10/10 – Carried 8-13 or more
9/10 – Had run 6 or more times that season
8/10 – Had won 5 or more times during their career
7/10 – Unplaced last time out
7/10 – Had run at York before (4 won)
6/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/10 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/10 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
0/10 – Winning favourites
El Astronaute (12/1) won the race in 2018

2.25 – Tattersalls Acomb Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

15/16 – Had won at least once before
14/16 – Won their previous race
13/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Had won over 7f or further before
7/16 – Ran at either York (3) or Newmarket (4) last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Had run at York before
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Ridden by James Doyle
2/16 – Trained by William Haggas
1/16 – Winners from stall 1
6 of the last 10 winners were foaled in March or later
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 5-9 (inc)
Phoenix Of Spain (9/2) won the race in 2018

 

3.00 – Sky Bet Great Voltigeur Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m4f ITV

15/17 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
14/17 – Had won at least twice already in their career
14/17 – Placed favourites
13/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
13/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (3), Godolphin (3) or John Gosden (4)
7/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Went onto be placed in the St Leger
2/17 – Went onto win the St Leger (Lucarno, Rule of Law)
3/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
0/17 – Winners from stall 1
Old Persian (7/1) won the race in 2018
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 3 times before (2001, 2003 & 2016)
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has won this race 7 times before (1982, 1994, 1999, 2000, 2005, 2011 & 2013)
13 horses have won this before going onto win the St Leger (Sept 14th)

Note: The 2008 renewal was run at Goodwood

 

3.35 – Juddmonte International Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

15/17 – Previous Group 1 winners
15/17 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
14/17 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
13/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/17 – Had not run at York before
12/17 – Aged 4 or older
11/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/17 – Had won 5 or more times before
10/17 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
9/17 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Sandown (4) last time out
8/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/17 – Won the Epsom Derby that season
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (5 winners in total)
5 of the last 11 winners were Irish-trained
Roaring Lion (3/1) won the race in 2018

Note: The 2008 renewal was run at Newmarket

 

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