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Saturday TV Horse Racing Trends & Tips: 26th Oct 2019

Loads to look forward to this Saturday with something for everyone as the ITV cameras are at Doncaster & Newbury for some decent flat action, plus they are also over the jumps for the first time this season at Cheltenham.

As always here at RACING AHEAD we got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus once the entries are out our free tips………let’s get cracking!

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)


1.45 –Doncaster Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

12/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/12 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
11/12 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
11/12 – Foaled in February or later
11/12 – Had won over 6f before
11/12 – Won between 1-2 times before
10/12 – Won last time out
9/12 – Carried 9-1 in weight
9/12 – Favourites placed in the top 3
8/12 – Raced at York, Nottingham or Kempton last time out
8/12 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
8/12 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/12 – March-born foals
6/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/12 – Trained by Brian Meehan
Trainer Marco Botti has won 2 of the last 4 runnings

 

3.25 – Vertem Futurity Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) ITV 1m

15/17 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
15/17 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
15/17 – Placed favourites
14/17 – Foaled in February or later
14/17 – Finished in the top two last time out
14/17 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/17 – Winning favourites
12/17 – Had raced at least twice previously
11/17 – Won their last race
11/17 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/17 – Had won over a mile in the past
10/17 – Ran at either the Curragh (3) or Newmarket (7) last time out
7/17 – Won by an Irish-based yard
6/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/17 – Won by a Montjeu-bred colt
4/17 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
3/17 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
3/17 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
1/17 – Went onto win the St Leger
Five winners have gone onto win the following season’s Epsom Derby
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 9 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2017 & 2018
The average SP in the last 17 runnings is 13/2

 

4.00 – Doncaster Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 5f ITV

15/15 – Ran 5 or more times that season
14/15 – Had won over 5f before
14/15 – Aged 5 or younger
12/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/15 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
10/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/15 – Carried 8-10 or less
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Had run at Doncaster before (4 won)
5/15 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (2) last time out
5/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Winners from stall 1
2/15 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
2/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 6)
1/15 – Winning mare/filly
Tarboosh (8/1 jfav) won the race in 2018
9 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.20 – Victoria Club Stakes (Registered As The St Simon) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

17/17 – Aged 5 or younger
15/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had won at least twice before
14/17 – Had at least 4 runs that season
13/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Rated 107 or higher
10/17 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
10/17 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
10/17 – Placed horses from stall 6
7/17 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
6/17 – Won by a filly or mare
6/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Trained by Andrew Balding
1/17 – Winners from stall 1
Morando (8/1) won the race in 2018


2.50 – Cancom Stakes Stakes (Registered As The Horris Hill Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

15/16 – Foaled in Feb or later
13/16 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
11/16 – Never raced at Newbury
12/16 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
11/16 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
10/16 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
9/16 – Favourites unplaced
8/16 – Won over 7f before
8/16 – Won their last race
7/16 – Foaled in February
7/16 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
4/16 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
4/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
1/16 – Winning favourites

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends ITV/RacingTV)


2.00 – ‘Matchbook Betting Exchange’ Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f ITV

12/13 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting market
11/12 – Won over at least 3m previously
10/12 – First run of the season
9/12 – Rated 134 or higher
9/12 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
8/12 – Irish bred winners
8/12 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
8/12 – Favourites unplaced
7/12 – Had won at Cheltenham previously
6/12 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/12 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
5/12 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
5/12 – Unplaced in their last race
1/12 – Winning Favourites
Cogry (13/2) won the race in 2017
Cogry was 2nd in the race last year
Relentless Dreamer (16/1) won the race in 2018

 

2.35 – Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV

7/10 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
6/10 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Carried 10-12 in weight
5/10 – Placed in their last race
5/10 – Irish bred winners
4/10 – Favourites placed
4/10 – Won 3 times over hurdles previously
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Pearl Of The West (1st 5/1) won the race in 2018


3.10 – Randox Health Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f199y ITV

Only 4 previous runnings
Foxtail Hill won the race in 2017 for trainer Neil Mulholland and was third in 2018
All four winners aged between 6-8 years-old (three aged 8)
All four winners returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
1 winning favourite
3 of the 4 winners carried 11-1 or more
Modus (4/1) won the race in 2018


3.45 – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 2m7f208y ITV

8/10 – Priced 17/2 or bigger in the betting
7/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
7/10 – Had run at Cheltenham before (3 winners)
7/10 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
6/10 – Last ran 6 month+ ago
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
4/10 – Won last time out
4/10 – Irish Bred
2/10 – Mare winners
2/10 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/10 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/10 – Winning favourites
The Mighty Don (1st 16/1) won this race in 2018

 

 

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The post Saturday TV Horse Racing Trends & Tips: 26th Oct 2019 appeared first on Racing Ahead.

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