Saturday Horse Racing Tips and Trends: 9th Nov 2019

This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Wincanton racecourse with the Badger Ales Chase their feature, plus they are also at Doncaster racecourse for the ultra-competitive November Handicap, and also heading to Aintree to take in one of their contests – as always we’ve got all the trends and stats for the LIVE races, plus our free tips.

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.30 – British EBF Gillies Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

13/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/15 – Had won at least twice before
12/15 – Had 3 or more runs that season
11/15 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
9/15 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
9/15 – Unplaced last time out
8/15 – Ran at either Lingfield (3), Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
8/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/15 – Returned 8/1 or bigger in the betting
7/15 – Unplaced favourites
6/15 – Won by an Irish-bred filly
2/15 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/15 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/15 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1

Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

2.45 – Sky Sports Racing Virgin 535 Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

8/10 – Carried 9-1 or less
8/9 – Had run at least 6 times before that season
8/10 – Won over at least 7f before
7/10 – Officially rated between 88 and 93
7/10 – Had run at Doncaster before
7/10 – Won at least 3 times in their career
7/10 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
6/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
6/10 – Carried 8-13 or less
5/10 – Unplaced last time out
4/10 – Returned a double-figure price
3/10 – Winning favourite
2/10 – Winning mares/fillies
The average winning price in the last 8 years is 8/1

3.15 – November Handicap Cl2 1m4f ITV4

13/16 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
13/16 – Winners that came from draw 9 or higher
13/16 – Favourites that were unplaced
12/16 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
12/16 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
12/16 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
11/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
11/16 – Placed last time out
11/16 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/16 – Won carrying 8-13 or less in weight
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 5 times in all)
2/16 – Ridden by jockey Martin Dwyer
1/16 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1
Just 1 winning favourite since 1995

Wincanton Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Richard Barber Memorial Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4

12/12 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Aged 7 or younger
9/12 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Had won over at least 2m4f before (hurdles)
8/12 – Rated between 119-129
8/12 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
8/12 – Had won at least twice before (hurdles)
7/12 – Finished 2^nd, 3^rd or 4^th last time out
7/12 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
6/12 – Had run at the track before
6/12 – Irish bred
6/12 – Aged 6 years-old
5/12 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 8)
2/12 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 6)
2/12 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

2.25 – John Romans Park ‘Rising Stars’ Novices Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

12/12 – Had won no more than twice over fences
11/12 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Favourites placed
10/12 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/12 – Had won over 2m3f or further (Chase)
9/12 – Irish (5) or French (4) bred
8/12 – Aged 6 or younger
8/12 – Won last time out
7/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
7/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
9 of the last 10 winners were aged between 5-7
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/2

3.00 – Unibet Elite Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

15/15 – Aged 7 or younger
13/15 – Won between 2-5 times before (hurdles)
13/15 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Came from the top three in the betting
10/15 – Unplaced last time out
10/15 – Rated 150 or lower
10/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
8/15 – Having first run of the season
5/15 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/15 – Carried 10-6 or less
5/15 – Won with 11-10 in weight
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
3/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Trained by John Quinn
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

3.35 – Badger Beers Silver Trophy (A Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

16/16 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
14/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
14/16 – Won at least two chase races previously
14/16 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously
13/16 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before
13/16 –  Raced at the course previously ( won over fences)
13/16 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old
13/16  – Placed in the top four in their last race
11/16 – Favourites placed
10/16 – Raced already that season
10/16 – Irish-bred horse
9/16 – Raced at either Sandown (3), Wincanton (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
9/16 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
7/16 – Carried 10-5 or less in weight
7/16 – 6Priced at double-figures
7/16 – Won their latest race
6/16 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
5/16 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey (including 5 of the last 9 years)
Present Man won the race in 2017 and 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.40 – Virgin Bet Handicap Chase Cl2 2m4f ITV

14/14 – Aged 9 or younger
14/14 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Had won 2 or less times over fences before
11/14 – Last raced over 6 months ago
10/14 – Aged 8 or younger
10/14 – Unplaced favourites
10/14 – Carried 10-13 or more
9/14 – Had won over 2m4f (or further) over fences before
7/14 – Rated between 119 and 130
6/14 – Had raced at Aintree before
5/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/14 – Trained by Venetia Williams
1/14 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

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