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Royal Ascot Trends and Tips: DAY ONE (16th June 2020)

The 2020 ROYAL ASCOT  fixture, which is set to be staged later this year, still hangs in the balance due to the ongoing coronavirus pandemic, but Ascot officials have already stated that if the meeting does get the all-clear to race – it will be done behind closed doors.

So, if the 2020 Royal Ascot Meeting is on, we get going with the normal bang and three Group One’s with the Queen Anne Stakes, King’s Stand Stakes and the St James’s Palace Stakes the feature contests.

Did You Know – ALL of the last 18 King’s Stand Stakes winners were aged 7 or younger?

Like all big race days here at RACING AHEAD we’ve got it all covered with key trends and stats, plus our free tips (to be added once final runners are out) – use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

Enjoy!

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Note: Due to the current COVID-19 situation, Ascot have already stated that if their Royal Ascot Meeting gets the green light to race, it will be staged behind closed doors.

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2020 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

Day One – Tuesday 16th June 2020

2.30 – Queen Anne Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m


Recent Queen Anne Stakes Winners
2019 – Lord Glitters (14/1)2018Accidental Agent (33/1)
2017 – Ribchester (11/10 fav)
2016 – Tepin (11/2)
2015 – Solow (11/8 fav)
2014 – Toronado (4/5 fav)
2013 – Declaration Of War (15/2)
2012 – Frankel (1/10 fav)
2011 – Canford Cliffs (11/8)
2010 – Goldikova (11/8 fav)
2009 – Paco Boy (10/3)
2008 – Haradasun (5/1)
2007 – Ramonti (5/1)
2006 – Ad Valorem (13/2)
2005 – Valixir (4/1)
2004 – Refuse To Bend (12/1)
2003 – Dubai Destination (9/2)
2002 – No Excuse Needed (13/2)

Queen Anne Stakes Trends

17/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/18 – Previous winners over 1 mile
15/18 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
14/18 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Had already won a Group 1 race
12/18 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Won by a 4 year-old
10/18 – Had never run at Ascot before
10/18 – Trained by either R Hannon (3), A P O’Brien (3) or Godolphin (4)
9/18 – Favourites that were unplaced
9/18 – Ran in the Lockinge Stakes at Newbury last time out
8/18 – Won their previous race
5/18 – Winning favourites
3/18  – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Only 2 winners from Stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 4 or higher

RACING AHEAD VERDICT: To Follow…………………..

3.05 – Coventry Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f


Recent Coventry Stakes Winners
2019 – Arizona (15/8 fav)
2018 – Calyx (2/1 fav)
2017 – Rajasinghe (11/1)
2016 – Caravaggio (13/8 fav)
2015 – Buratino (6/1)
2014 – The Wow Signal (5/1 jfav)
2013 – War Command (20/1)
2012 – Dawn Approach (7/2)
2011 – Power (4/1 fav)
2010 – Strong Suit (15/8 fav)
2009 – Canford Cliffs (7/4 fav)
2008 – Art Connoisseur (8/1)
2007 – Henrythenavigator (11/4 fav)
2006 – Hellvelyn (4/1 jfav)
2005 – Red Clubs (11/2)
2004 – Iceman (5/1 jfav)
2003 – Three Valleys (7/1)
2002 – Statue Of Liberty (16/1)

Coventry Stakes Trends

18/18 – Won their previous race
17/18 – Had never raced at Ascot before
16/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Came from the top three in the betting
15/18 – Had between 1 and 2 previous career runs
13/18 – Foaled in either Feb or March
12/18 – Won over 6f before
10/18 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
6/18 – Ran at either Newbury or Newmarket last time out
6/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon
1/18 – Won by a Jan foal
10 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 6 or higher
7 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 9-19 (inc)

RACING AHEAD VERDICT: To Follow…………………..

3.40 – King´s Stand Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 5f

Recent King’s Stand Stakes Winners

2019 – Blue Point (5/2)
2018 – Blue Point (6/1)
2017 – Lady Aurelia (7/2)
2016 – Profitable (4/1)
2015 – Goldream (20/1)
2014 – Sole Power (5/1)
2013 – Sole Power (8/1)
2012 – Little Bridge (12/1)
2011 – Prohibit (7/1)
2010 – Equiano (9/2)
2009 – Scenic Blast (11/4 fav)
2008 – Equiano (22/1)
2007 – Miss Andretti (3/1 fav)
2006 – Takeover Target (7/1)
2005 – Chineur (7/1)
2004 – The Tatling (8/1)
2003 – Choisir (25/1)

King’s Stand Stakes Trends

18/18 – Aged 7 or younger
16/18 – Had won a Group race before
15/18 – Aged 4 or older
15/18 – Had won over 5f before
13/18 – Finished first or second last time out
13/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Had run at Ascot before (8 had won at the track)
10/18 – Favourites placed
10/18 – Won by a non-UK based trained horse
6/18 – Ran at either Flemington (3) or Chantilly (3) last time out
6/18 – Favourites that finished third
3/18 – Won by an Australian-trained horse
3/18 – 3 Year-old winners
3/18 – Winning favourites
A horse from stalls 9, 11 & 14 has been placed in 11 of the last 12 runnings

RACING AHEAD VERDICT: To Follow…………………..

4.20 – St James´s Palace Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m


Recent St James’s Palace Stakes Winners
2019 – Circus Maximus (10/1)2018 – Without Parole (9/4 fav)
2017 – Barney Roy (5/2)
2016 – Galileo Gold (6/1)
2015 – Gleneagles (8/15 fav)
2014 – Kingman (8/11 fav)
2013 – Dawn Approach (5/4 fav)
2012 – Most Improved (9/1)
2011 – Frankel (3/10 fav)
2010 – Canford Cliffs (11/4 jfav)
2009 – Mastercraftsman (5/6 fav)
2008 – Henrythenavigator (4/7 fav)
2007 – Excellent Art (8/1)
2006 – Araafa (2/1 fav)
2005 – Shamardal (7/4 fav)
2004 – Azamour (9/2)
2003 – Zafeen (8/1)
2002 – Rock Of Gibraltar (4/5 fav)

St James’s Palace Stakes Trends

18/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting16/18 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
15/18 – Favourites that were placed
15/18 – Had won over a mile before
14/18– Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
12/18 – Previous Group 1 winners
12/18 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
10/18 – Won their previous race
9/18 – Ran in the Irish 2000 Guineas (Curragh) last time out (7 won it)
6/18 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/18 – Had run at Ascot before
Just 2 winners from stall 1 or 2 in the last 12 runnings
6 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 4 or 5

RACING AHEAD VERDICT: To Follow…………………..

5.00 – Ascot Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-95) 2m4f


Ascot Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – The Grand Visir (12/1)
2018 – Lagostovegas (10/1)
2017 – Thomas Hobson (4/1 fav)
2016 – Jennies Jewel (6/1)
2015 – Clondaw Warrior (5/1 fav)
2014 – Domination (12/1)
2013 – Well Sharp (9/1)
2012 – Simenon (8/1)
2011 – Veiled (11/2)
2010 – Junior (17/2)
2009 – Judgethemoment (13/2)
2008 – Missoula (20/1)
2007 – Full House (20/1)
2006 – Baddam (33/1)
2005 – Leg Spinner (9/1)
2004 – Double Obsession (25/1)
2003 – Sindapour (12/1)
2002 – Riyadh (7/1 fav)

Ascot Stakes Trends

16/18 – Carried 9-0 or more
14/18 – Won by a stable better known for their NH runners
14/18 – Had at least 1 previous run on the flat that season
12/18 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
11/18 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
9/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/18 – Won their previous race
3/18 – Trained by the Pipe stable
3/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Trained by Willie Mullins
7 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure stall
Just one winner (or placed) horse from stall 1 placed in the last 12 runnings

RACING AHEAD VERDICT: To Follow…………………..

5.35 – Wolferton Rated Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+ 0-110) 1m2f


Wolferton Rated Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – Addeybb (5/1)
2018 – Monarchs Glen (8/1)
2017 – Snoano (25/1)
2016 – Sir Isaac Newton (7/1)
2015 – Mahsoob (7/4 fav)
2014 – Contributer (9/1)
2013 – Forgotten Voice (12/1)
2012 – Gatewood (3/1 fav)
2011 – Beachfire (12/1)
2010 – Rainbow Peak (13/8 fav)
2009 – Perfect Stride (8/1)
2008 – Supaseus (12/1)
2007 – Championship Point (25/1)
2006 – I’m So Lucky (16/1)
2005 – Imperial Stride (25/1)
2004 – Red Fort (6/1)
2003 – In Time’s Eye (5/1)

Wolferton Rated Stakes Key Trends

14/17 – Had between 1 and 3 runs already that season
13/17 – Had won 3 or more races during their career
12/17 – Finished unplaced last time out
12/17 – Aged 4 years-old
11/17 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
11/17 – Unplaced favourites
9/17 – Had run at Ascot before
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price
7/17 – Ran at either York (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
4/17 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of last 9)
2/17 – Trained at Kremlin House Stables (Roger Varian/M Jarvis)
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 14 winners returned 7/1 or bigger

RACING AHEAD VERDICT: To Follow…………………..

The post Royal Ascot Trends and Tips: DAY ONE (16th June 2020) appeared first on Racing Ahead.

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